Weekly Hourly Hiring Report 4/28/2020

April 28, 2020 Mathieu Stevenson

Snagajob is here to help you navigate the hourly hiring landscape during this pandemic. Our proprietary data gives us a unique perspective on hourly job trends and we can see how both workers and employers are responding in real-time. One of the most valuable things we can offer you is a view into these insights and hiring trends. We’re here to give you helpful context as you make business decisions and begin planning to reopen. 

 

Highlights

26 million people are out of work right now—90% of them are hourly workers. Typically, in a recession, we see job searches spike. But, counterintuitively, job searches on Google are down 40% since the beginning of March. 

We’ve found that workers aren’t searching because enhanced unemployment benefits have kicked in, they’re concerned about working during a pandemic and they’ve underestimated how long this situation will last.

Of the hourly workers who have found new jobs, most of those opportunities are concentrated in gig, grocery and warehousing. 

Overall, job postings nationally haven’t changed since last week, still down 45% since the beginning of March.

Jobs

 

Grocery is one of the few industries that has survived, and even thrived, as a result of COVID-19. The rapid adoption of digital ordering and delivery, especially among previously-resistant customers, will create a permanent business model shift. We expect to see a shift in the types of positions grocery stores will hire in the coming months. Job postings are up 2% since the beginning of March, indicating that things have leveled out since their peak in late March.

 

Convenience stores haven’t experienced the same surge as grocery, despite an initial spike. Many convenience stores have struggled to maintain inventory and consumers are making far fewer trips out to buy only a few items. Job postings remain relatively flat since the initial drop, down 28% since early March.

 

Warehouse and logistics jobs are up 377% from the beginning of March, up an additional 145% since last week. We expect to see a permanent increase in these jobs, even as states begin to reopen non-essential businesses—increased demand for e-Commerce and delivery is here to stay.

 

Retail jobs dropped another 10% in the last week, down 41% since the beginning of March, as consumers prefer online shopping to visiting brick and mortar stores.

 

Quick service restaurants (QSR) have leveled out in the past few weeks, despite initial steady declines. Jobs are down 26% since early March, but flat week over week.

 

Sit-down restaurants also saw steady declines as the COVID-19 pandemic began to spread, but they’ve stabilized. Job postings are only down 2% week over week, but down 74% since early March.

 

What’s happening across America

 

For the first time since the COVID-19 pandemic erupted in the US, some states are starting to ease restrictions on certain non-essential businesses.

 

This week, we looked at job trends in states that have announced plans to reopen.

 

While there hasn’t been an increase in jobs in anticipation of the reopenings in these states, we expect that to change in the weeks to come. This week’s data indicates that businesses allowed to reopen with limited scope are still feeling out consumer demand as they make plans to ramp up staffing.

 

All state data is from March 2, 2020 to April 27, 2020

 

In Texas, phase one of the reopening begins this Friday, 5/1, allowing for a 25% occupancy of restaurants, retail, malls and museums. In Dallas, grocery is back to normal, with jobs up 2%. Full service restaurant jobs are still down 79%, but QSR jobs are only down 27%. 

 

In Alaska, which shut down on 3/27 and reopened late last week, restaurant jobs are still down 91%. 

 

In Georgia, one of the last states to shut down (4/2) and one of the first to announce plans to reopen, there’s been a rapid decline in job postings. Full service restaurants are down 79%, on-demand is down 69% and logistics and warehouse are down 47%.

 

South Carolina, which didn’t shut down until 4/6, has extended stay-at-home orders but allowed some non-essential businesses to reopen. Grocery continues to see high demand and needs help with staffing—jobs are up 35%. There is also a high demand for logistics and warehouse support with jobs up 150%.

 

And finally, in the US epicenter, New York is staying home. Grocery jobs are down 2% as grocery stores have figured this out. New Yorkers continue to rely on delivery and e-commerce. Warehouse and logistics jobs are up 924% and retail is down 20%.

 

Workers

 

Google searches for full-time and part-time jobs are down, but part-time jobs have seen the steepest drop, down 58% since early March.

 

The bottom line

 

The impact of COVID-19 on jobs is a national story that’s being felt differently across industries and geographies. We’re monitoring the changes as some states start to ease restrictions on non-essential businesses.

 

As always, we continue to talk to hourly workers and employers to see how they’re feeling about the situation. You can find that information in our weekly COVID-19 infographic.

About the Author

Mathieu Stevenson

Mathieu Stevenson is the Chief Executive Officer of Snagajob. Appointed in 2019 after previously serving as Snagajob’s Chief Marketing Officer, Mathieu and his team are focused on using data and AI to realize the vision of becoming the first truly on-demand platform for hourly work, instantly connecting millions of hourly workers with hiring employers. Mathieu brings deep technology and marketplace experience across venture owned and public companies, including leadership roles at McKinsey & Company, HomeAway Inc (NASDAQ: AWAY), and most recently, Blucora Inc (NASDAQ: BCOR) where Mathieu served as Chief Marketing and Strategy Officer. Mathieu and his wife Catie have three active, young boys. The family is enjoying their new home and community in Richmond, VA. Mathieu is a graduate of the University of Texas at Austin and attended the Fuqua School of Business at Duke University where he received his Masters of Business Administration. His first hourly job was as a lifeguard.

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